Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.081154e-03 1.230271e-03 0.001381 0.001545 0.001717 0.001891 0.002082
2025-05-04 9.034711e-04 1.120614e-03 0.001348 0.001602 0.001876 0.002160 0.002476
2025-05-11 6.810289e-04 9.369669e-04 0.001216 0.001537 0.001892 0.002268 0.002693
2025-05-18 4.867901e-04 7.616331e-04 0.001076 0.001449 0.001872 0.002329 0.002853
2025-05-25 3.613645e-04 6.497060e-04 0.000995 0.001419 0.001908 0.002446 0.003070
2025-06-01 2.435728e-04 5.291594e-04 0.000892 0.001353 0.001898 0.002505 0.003219
2025-06-08 1.698815e-04 4.532980e-04 0.000835 0.001335 0.001938 0.002618 0.003425
2025-06-15 1.358036e-04 4.278514e-04 0.000839 0.001389 0.002059 0.002821 0.003730
2025-06-22 8.306481e-05 3.597083e-04 0.000780 0.001359 0.002078 0.002904 0.003898
2025-06-29 5.285114e-05 3.201763e-04 0.000755 0.001369 0.002142 0.003039 0.004123
2025-07-06 4.733726e-05 3.288788e-04 0.000798 0.001467 0.002313 0.003297 0.004487
2025-07-13 2.145469e-05 2.785831e-04 0.000750 0.001443 0.002333 0.003376 0.004646
2025-07-20 4.058474e-07 2.018724e-04 0.000666 0.001384 0.002330 0.003454 0.004836
2025-07-27 NaN 1.761735e-04 0.000660 0.001433 0.002463 0.003698 0.005222
2025-08-03 NaN 1.134530e-04 0.000576 0.001367 0.002450 0.003766 0.005405
2025-08-10 NaN 5.865775e-05 0.000484 0.001281 0.002407 0.003795 0.005539
2025-08-17 NaN 3.043298e-05 0.000433 0.001250 0.002432 0.003906 0.005771
2025-08-24 NaN 7.547147e-06 0.000366 0.001187 0.002411 0.003957 0.005929
2025-08-31 NaN 4.374239e-07 0.000331 0.001170 0.002449 0.004081 0.006173
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000334 0.001220 0.002579 0.004320 0.006555
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000295 0.001191 0.002599 0.004417 0.006765
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001201 0.002670 0.004580 0.007054
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001293 0.002860 0.004893 0.007524